Post by @halfbyte@ruby.social

2026-08-31 12:00 UTC

So, that Anthropic guy has claimed the total addressable markets for LLMs are around 30 trillion (I assume annually?) USD. That's roughly 3.600 USD per human on earth. My (quick) research has been inconclusive, but I think this is above the median worldwide income per year. (One number I found puts that at around 2.900 USD/year) Look I know they more or less just make shit up. But this will be in their IPO prospectus. People will read this and go, oh, big number! Big number good!

Replies (4)

@tisba@ruby.social 2026-08-31 12:20

@halfbyte@ruby.social Another figure for comparison: 30 trillion USD is about the -entire- US GDP and ~25% of the global, world GDP. They basically claim, that the market they are addressing in size is 25% of the entire world economy.

Open ##5038255
@torusle@norden.social 2026-08-31 12:48

@halfbyte@ruby.social I think Patrick Boyle had a video on this when it came to SpaceX. He did the same napkin calculations and came up with a comparable result: (I guess it is this video here) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IHD8BDFYyGI&t=392s

Open ##5038261
@tosch@gruene.social 2026-08-31 13:27

@halfbyte@ruby.social Global GDP, 2020: Roughly 85 trillion USD (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_world_product)

Open ##5038263
@Saupreiss@pfalz.social 2026-09-03 21:20

@halfbyte@ruby.social well, it makes sense: We could save money on all those people out there and just keep the few ones we still need. 😈

Open ##5038267